How to properly prepare old gentleman Donald Trump.
Introduction.
To put it bluntly, the world has changed drastically and radically over the past three years.
The statuses of significant countries and the statuses of bilateral relations between them have changed.
And in the head of Donald Trump, judging by his rhetoric, the world froze during his presidency.
During his life, the past President Trump did not achieve any success in real estate, investments and development. However, he achieved considerable success as a showman and showbiz businessman. To some extent, he is a talented director of all kinds of scenes with his own participation. It seems to me, given his maxims/narratives about interpersonal relationships, who "fears" whom, who "respects" whom, that the real story together with his presidency in his head consists of some past SCENES of communication with high-ranking officials domestic and foreign.. .What did they look like there and what was the visual impression. And in general, Donald Trump was very involved in show business in wrestling. This is such a fake theatrical pseudo-game of interpersonal pretend pseudo-struggle.
Why did I write this? To the point that the real life and management of countries contains real gigantic interests and complex schedules of mutual forces, and not theatrical scenes of personal meetings of leaders. You can verbally pretend that due to height and weight, he was stronger and more handsome during personal meetings with Putin... But taking into account the schedules and appearance after personal negotiations, as you remember, the opposite impression was formed... And Trump allowed himself such skits where he looked like a boy to whom Putin gave a ball.
The main topic.
International life has changed radically in four years!
From the past friendly skits with a gift of a ball for children, Putin has become... a wanted international criminal with an arrest warrant who kidnaps children en masse for militaristic mental manipulation.
The rhetoric between the Kremlin and Western countries has changed from that
- you will freeze without Russian gas,
- on Moscow's specific threats of nuclear strikes to Western countries.
If during Mr. Trump's past it was about "not increasing China's influence on Russia",... now it is already being said that Putin actually made Russia completely dependent on China, became a proxy power of Beijing.
During this time, the Kremlin managed to become a distributor of nuclear and missile technologies to regimes very unfriendly to the United States.
Four years ago, Putin had a terrible threatening army with huge reserves of ammunition,... And now he simply lost his then professional army and a very significant part of weapons, armored vehicles, missiles and ammunition.
The realities with the prospects of Putin's economy are already beginning to weigh on the Kremlin's eyes - there are 8 years of commercially suitable oil fields left in Russia. Until this dramatic moment, after 12-16 years at the time, Russia could go from the years of Trump's presidency with accumulation and acquisitions,... But it did not happen as expected, instead, Putin blew up what was, and also surrounded himself with a ring of fire, hatred and contempt. Trump remembers Putin as a very rich man, who once visited the football field when the leaders of the civilized West got wet in the rain. Then Putin provided arms to a significant part of the global south... And now he has turned into a person who is on his knees asking for arms from Iran, Tajikistan and North Korea...
In any case, Putin has made Russia a country with very sad prospects already in SPECIFIC 8 years. In the world, it has not yet become a norm in all minds to realize the fact that there is an infinite distance between countries
- in which gasoline "beats from the ground",...
- and between countries that need to somehow earn foreign currency and only then use it to buy significant amounts of gasoline. It is in eight years that Russia will have to overcome this distance with a giant leap into the abyss! For those who do not know about these 8 years, I will say that this time is calculated simply by the explored reserves of commercially suitable oil in Russia, approximately - 4 billion tons, and by the fact that Russia produces half a billion tons every year - there are only 8 years left. Russia itself, most likely, will not be tempted to buy imported gasoline, there will not be enough currency, money,... but it will start trying to produce its own, which will be equal to or higher than world prices. As a result, revenues in the budget from gasoline will disappear, and production volumes will drop significantly.
If under Trump the president, Putin had huge cubes in gold and currency reserves, and in the Welfare Fund and the Reserve Fund, now, in the balance, - the Welfare Fund, which Putin secretly spends and replaces real assets there with all kinds of junk Russian pseudo-securities. Putin has already completely exhausted the reserve fund... in order to hide it, he formally combined it with the welfare fund, and according to competent estimates, no more than one year remains until its complete exhaustion.
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The situation with China's economy has fundamentally changed since the last Trump presidential term. The situation, with the appearance of well-being and exiting the first positions in the world,... has changed to the opposite, to mega-bankruptcies, to a severe economic crisis from which there is no particular way out in the near future.
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Letting Putin go now with a favorable peace for his militaristic recovery will STILL mean huge military progress in Russian technology. The fact is that as the war progressed, the Russian army and military production of the Russian Federation matured and modernized significantly. The Russian Federation, if not mass production, has grown significantly in many technologies and has understood which past technologies have become obsolete and gone into the past. In other words, for such a favorable respite-restoration, the aggressor Putin's army will be able to seriously modernize physically and serially on an industrial scale. If the USA and the Russian Federation had clashed on the battlefield 5 years ago,... the Russian Federation would have been a child and would have relied on its very weak missile technology, useless tanks, and in fact no UAVs. But after the war and the unwanted respite, Putin will be able to seriously correct this situation and modernize missiles and drones, which will significantly increase the threat to the United States and its allies. That is, the situation now looks like this, after the considerable costs and investments of the USA in the confrontation with Putin in Ukraine,... if we stop military aid to Ukraine now and simply do nothing, we will not take advantage significant military, industrial and economic weakening of Russia in the war, . .. then this whole situation will cause significant damage to the national security of the United States, both in comparison with the present time and in comparison with the past five years. Because after some 3-5 years of respite, Russia will become much, much more powerful, including the quality of intercontinental nuclear missiles.
What will happen with progress in artificial intelligence is still unknown. But given Elon Musk's contacts with Putin, there are also very big potential threats. It seems to be obvious to everyone that friendship and technological cooperation in this field with dictatorial regimes should not only be categorically curtailed, but also prohibited.
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I hope that no one in the US state apparatus will treat unfriendly, poor, backward, weak, and hopeless renegade adversary countries... as if they were solid/strong/friendly. I hope that some exaggerated positive attitude towards Putin and the Russian Federation will certainly NOW ALREADY be perceived as a betrayal of US state interests.
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Over these four years, the situation has changed fundamentally and very strongly, not only with countries that are leaders from the "axis of dictatorships". The situation with "little hooligans" has also changed radically. This happened due to the fact that Putin, brutally in relation to the whole world, began to distribute quite modern and dangerous military technologies left and right, first of all - to such countries as North Korea, Iran and some other well-known ones. Moreover, it is not excluded that in the near future he will be able to use them all over the world as non-public secret proxy forces with dangerous modern military technologies.
If someone still hopes that unmanned technologies have not become, as it were, a new strategic factor, given the limited convention of the Russian-Ukrainian war, then with regard to peripheral proxy conflicts on the territory of third countries, I think no one has to doubt this. If the Putinists are given time and opportunities for military recovery, I am afraid that they will be able to plant their puppet regimes on many continents and in many countries on a very large scale and very easily. This will obviously not benefit the security and interests of the US and its allies. If yesterday reconnaissance and strike drones in regionally problematic places were almost exclusively the prerogative of the USA, now these technologies have become so cheap and developed that in relation to them, the USA may no longer be the only, no longer the first, and even no longer the third power in this factor .
This is just one factor among others, in relation to which giving Putin a break for military recovery is significantly dangerous for both the world and the United States.
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Many people also have to be explained separately, often two or three times, what "aggressive war" is and why it is punished in the criminal codes of many countries. Aggressive war is actually the organization and implementation of mass murders of people and mass destruction of other people's property by an organized, armed, especially dangerous criminal group of persons. And precisely from the 22nd year, Putin became the organizer of such a criminal gang, he became guilty of organizing and implementing mass murders of people, mass destruction of looting and looting of property for his own benefit.
Contacts with such a person, the organization of joint events and protection, especially secrecy, always inevitably give rise to suspicion of complicity in his crimes.
Now only people who are existentially dependent and intimidated, or on whom the Kremlin has absolutely criminal information, only they in relation to Putin, pretend that it is possible to do business and be friends with a mass murderer.
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This is how the world has changed since President Donald Trump passed. As far as I can see, according to his rhetoric, he does not really understand this, he lives in a distant yesterday. And he needs to convey all this! By all possible means, from interviews of high-ranking officials of law enforcement agencies to commentators and journalists. Apparently, both American and all from other countries. By all available methods: articles, letters, appeals, conversations, public speeches,... reposts, likes,...
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